Industry Trends
In January 2024, Korea's industrial activities increased for three consecutive months, marking the first time in 24 months that all industrial production grew for three straight months.
Subject | All industries | Mining & manufacturing |
Service | Retail sales | Equipment investment |
Construction completed |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monthly Change (%) | ∆0.4 | ▲1.3 | ∆0.1 | ∆0.8 | ∆5.6 | ∆12.4 |
In January, production of mining and manufacturing industries declined in semiconductors (△8.6 percent) due to a declining trend at the beginning of the quarter, but the decline was compensated by an increase in production of other manufacturing industries, including telecommunications. Despite a decline in wholesale and retail (△1 percent), service industry production grew (1.1 percent in Dec. 2023 and 0.1 percent in Jan. 2024), backed by increases in telecommunications (+4.9 percent) and real estate (+2.6 percent). Retail sales increased by 0.2 percentage points from December 2023, as durable goods (-1 percent) and semi-durable goods (-1.4 percent) declined, but sales of nondurable goods (2.3 percent) expanded. Capital investment contracted from the previous month, led by a decline in machinery (-3.2 percent) and a sharp drop in transportation equipment (-12.4 percent). Civil engineering (12.8 percent) increased on the back of expanded plant construction, while construction improved (12.3 percent) both in residential and non-residential sectors. The cyclical change in the coincident index turned positive for the first time in three months, driven by increases in retail sales and completed construction projects. The cyclical change in the leading index stayed flat despite improvements in inventories and stock prices, due to falling construction orders. Recently, the manufacturing sector and exports have led the recovery of the Korean economy amidst uncertainties in domestic consumption. At the same time, the economy carries upside and downside risks going forward. On the production side, the rebound in key industries such as semiconductors, continued improvement in exports, and the spreading prospect of a soft landing in the global economy are positive, but geopolitical unrest and supply chain risks, as well as monetary policies of major countries in line with global inflation, are burdening the economy. As for consumption and investment, improving consumer sentiment, an increase in international visitors, and plans to expand capital investment in key industries (ten major manufacturing industries, +10 percent YoY) are positive factors, while household debt and real estate PF risks, slow construction orders, and delays in construction of major business sites are downside factors.
※ Source: Ministry of Economy and Finance(moef.go.kr)
Trends by Industry
- Automotive
-
‘December 2023 Domestic Consumption Fell 슬롯 사이트 추천-on슬롯 사이트 추천 Due to the Base Effect of Strong Domestic Sales at the End of 2022’
→ 슬롯 사이트 추천 in January increased by 21.2% year-on-year backed by growing EV 슬롯 사이트 추천 and brisk overseas production. Domestic consumption in December 2023 fell by 11.7% year-on-year due to weak consumer sentiment and the base effect. Production in December 2023 decreased from a year ago as demand for internal combustion engine parts weakened.
- Shipbuilding
-
‘Exports Increased for Six Straight Months with the Delivery of High-End Offshore Plants’
→ In December 2023, the capacity utilization rate of the shipbuilding industry maintained a downward trend as shipbuilders increased their investments to improve production capacity, and production and shipments fell due to the effect of December 2022. Exports increased by 76.7% in January to grow for the sixth consecutive month, as high-value ships and offshore plants were delivered. While imports of ship engines and parts fell in December 2023, imports increased by 19%, driven by imports of ships from Japan and Singapore.
- General machinery
-
‘Production Continued Slumping, Exports Increased for 10 Months in a Row to Reach Second-Largest on Record’
→ In December 2023, general machinery exports recorded the second largest volume ever, but the industry’s production fell by 7.0% year-on-year as domestic consumption continued to slow down. In January, exports grew by 14.5% year-on-year as exports to the United States continued growing and those to China turned around, while exports to the EU remained sluggish. Imports in December 2023 continued to decline for the seventh consecutive month, increasing by 6% year-on-year as Korean companies continued to cut back on capital investment.
- Steel
-
‘Growing Demand from Emerging Economies Pushed Exports Upward’ ’
→ Production increased by 11.8% year-on-year in December 2023, backed by increased demands for sheet metal products from the auto and shipbuilding industries and the base effect of the previous year's production decline. In January, exports grew by 2% year-on-year as emerging countries such as India, Latin America, and the Middle East saw their economic conditions improve and expanded infrastructure investment. Imports decreased by 5.1% year-on-year in December 2023 due to sluggish domestic consumption of construction bar steel and falling import unit prices.
- Oil refining
-
‘ Against Falling Unit Prices, Higher Volume Pushed January Exports Upward’
→ In December 2023, production increased by 4.9% yearon-year as Korean refineries increased capacity utilization rates in response to growing 슬롯 사이트 추천. In January, growing export volume pushed 슬롯 사이트 추천 upward by 11.8% from a year ago.
- Wireless communication devices
-
‘Amidst Expectations for Gradual Recovery of Global Smartphone Market, January 슬롯 사이트 추천 Plunged Due to Delay in Full-Scale Rise in Shipments at the Beginning of the Year’
→ With the global economic downturn delaying the recovery of smartphone demands, 슬롯 사이트 추천 fell as consumers postponed purchase in anticipation of new product launches scheduled for February. In December 2023, the slowdown in 슬롯 사이트 추천 cut production by 1.8% year-onyear, while shipments plummeted by a significant 30.5%, resulting in a 21.1% increase in inventories. Imports in December 2023 decreased by 1.9% year-on-year, mainly in the imports of smartphones.
- Semiconductor
-
‘Semiconductor Exports Up for Three Straight Months, Growing at a Faster Pace’
→ In January 2024, 슬롯 사이트 추천 reached USD 9.4 billion, up 56.2% year-on-year, which is the highest increase ever for the month of January. The semiconductor production index in December 2023 rose sharply year-on-year (by 53.3%) to 175.8, and also grew by 8.5% month-onmonth, indicating strong growth.
- Display
-
‘Production Continued to Decline in 2023 Due to LCD Production Cuts’
→ Display production continued to decline last year due to the ripple effect of LCD facility closures. Despite falling OLED exports, January panel exports increased by 2.1% thanks to rising LCD panel prices and grew for six straight months. Wider application of OLEDs in IT devices is expected to boost exports, but the trend is unlikely to produce a visible result in Q1
* Please note that the latest data available in Statistics Korea are for the previous month in the case of 슬롯 사이트 추천 and the month prior to the previous one for production.
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코로나19 발생 이후 대부분의 고용 관심사가 항공 및 여행서비스, 음식·숙박 서비스 등 주로 서비스 업종에 집중된 상황에서 본 연구는 최근 그 중요성이 강조되고 있는 제조업의 고용변화를 살펴보았다. 분석에 따르면, 코로나19 이후 제조업 고용은 비교적 큰 충격 없이 빠르게 회복하는 모습을 보이고 있다. 제조업 고용은 서비스업에 비해 큰 충격 없이 유지되고 있고, 코로나19 직후 2020년 상반기에 약간 하락하였지만 하반기부터 회복 추세를 보이고 있으며, OECD 주요국의 제조업과 비교하여도 일본과 함께 고용 충격이 비교적 작게 나타나고 있다. 그러나 전반적으로 양호한 고용 성적에도 불구하고 제조업 내 특성 별로는 차이가 나타나는 것으로 보인다. 종사상 지위 별로 보면, 임시·일용직, 고용원이 있는 자영업자에서 고용 충격이 상대적으로 크게 나타났고, 상용직과 고용원이 없는 자영업자는 큰 충격이 없는 것으로 나타났다. 제조업 규모별로는 300인 이상의 경우 코로나 발생 초기 약간의 충격 이후 고용이 빠르게 반등하면서 코로나 이전보다 고용이 더 증가한 반면, 이보다 작은 규모의 제조업체들의 경우 고용 회복이 더디게 나타나고 있다. 고용의 중장기, 단기 추세선을 비교한 결과 제조업 업종에 따른 차이를 보였다. 코로나 발생 이전 3년간의 추세선을 2020년 1월부터 연장한 선과, 2020년 1월부터의 실제 자료를 이용한 단기 추세선을 비교한 결과, 의약품은 코로나19 발생 이전부터 시작하여 코로나19 발생 이후에도 견조한 증가세를 유지하고 있으며, 전자부품·컴퓨터, 기타운송장비, 가구는 코로나19 이후 오히려 고용 추세가 개선되었다. 그러나 다수 업종은 코로나 발생 이후 고용이 하락하였는데, 특히, 비금속광물, 1차금속, 금속가공 분야나 인쇄·기록매체 업종에서 하락이 상대적으로 크게 나타났다.
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